La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Yannick Hanfmann v Luciano Darderi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Predicción 38.33%2.61momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.598%
Kelly +0.960%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%38.42%38.45%40.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.502.6543.48%40.41%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Predicción 61.67%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -3.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.13%61.58%61.55%63.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.16%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.58%E +0.598%K +0.960%G +0.015% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.10%E -0.426%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.87%E -0.729%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.25%E -0.882%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Betsson | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| ReBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.47%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:42 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.18%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.95%E -1.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| Novig | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 1.6% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |