赔率学院

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mattia Bellucci

开赛时间: 2026-05-09 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (23 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (主队)

预测 73.31%1.36公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -7.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
69.98%73.37%73.22%75.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.06%78.13%75.19%MIN均值中位数MAX

Mattia Bellucci (客队)

预测 26.69%3.75公平赔率
EV +6.75%
优势 +1.69%
Kelly +2.25%
增长率 +0.152%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
24.10%26.63%26.78%30.02%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.93%28.17%25.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +6.75%E +1.69%K +2.25%G +0.152%3.7%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-09 12:29
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-09 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007%3.8%2026-05-09 12:29
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007%6.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:29
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:29
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:10
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -0.189%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 12:19
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 12:30
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 12:30
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -10.56%E -8.65%K -47.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 12:30
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 12:09
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:29
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 12:29
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 12:30
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 12:29
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 12:29
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:09
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.46%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:29
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:09
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 12:29
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.29%E -9.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 12:30
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 12:10
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:09
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:09
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:28
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:28
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:28
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:10
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 12:04
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 12:04
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -7.40%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 12:21
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 12:29
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 12:09
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -8.46%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:29
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:10
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 12:29
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 12:09
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 12:28
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:09
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:09
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:09
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 12:28
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 12:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-09 12:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-09 12:30
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-09 12:30
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%2.2%2026-05-09 12:30
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-05-09 12:30