Школа коэффициентов

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mattia Bellucci

Начало: 2026-05-09 13:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Хозяева)

Прогноз 73.31%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.49%
Преимущество -1.88%
Kelly -7.56%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.98%73.37%73.22%75.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.06%78.13%75.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Гости)

Прогноз 26.69%3.75справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.75%
Преимущество +1.69%
Kelly +2.25%
Рост +0.152%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.10%26.63%26.78%30.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.93%28.17%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +6.75%E +1.69%K +2.25%G +0.152%3.7%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-09 12:29
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057%4.4%2026-05-09 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:30
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026%5.3%2026-05-09 12:29
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007%3.8%2026-05-09 12:29
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007%6.3%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:29
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:29
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:29
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:10
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -0.189%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 12:19
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 12:30
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 12:30
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -10.56%E -8.65%K -47.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 12:30
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 12:09
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:29
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 12:29
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 12:30
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 12:29
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 12:29
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:09
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.46%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:29
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:09
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 12:29
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.29%E -9.33%K -53.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 12:30
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 12:10
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:09
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:09
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:28
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:28
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:28
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:10
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 12:04
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 12:04
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -7.40%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 12:21
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 12:29
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 12:09
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -8.46%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:29
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:10
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 12:29
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 12:09
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 12:28
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:09
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:09
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:09
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 12:28
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 12:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-09 12:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-09 12:30
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-09 12:30
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%2.2%2026-05-09 12:30
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-05-09 12:30