L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mattia Bellucci
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prévision 73.31%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -7.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%73.37%73.22%75.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.06%78.13%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mattia Bellucci (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.69%3.75cote équitable
EV +6.75%
Avantage +1.69%
Kelly +2.25%
Croissance +0.152%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.10%26.63%26.78%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.93%28.17%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +6.75%E +1.69%K +2.25%G +0.152% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -0.189%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -10.56%E -8.65%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.46%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.29%E -9.33%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -7.40%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:21 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -8.46%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |