La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mattia Bellucci
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa)
Previsione 73.31%1.36quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -7.56%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%73.37%73.22%75.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.06%78.13%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.69%3.75quota equa
EV +6.75%
Vantaggio +1.69%
Kelly +2.25%
Crescita +0.152%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.10%26.63%26.78%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.93%28.17%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +6.75%E +1.69%K +2.25%G +0.152% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -0.189%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -10.56%E -8.65%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.46%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.29%E -9.33%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -7.40%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:21 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -8.46%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |