La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mattia Bellucci
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Predicción 73.31%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -7.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%73.37%73.22%75.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.281.281.3382.64%78.06%78.13%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)
Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV +6.75%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.152%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.10%26.63%26.78%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.93%28.17%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +6.75%E +1.69%K +2.25%G +0.152% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.08%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.75%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.077%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -0.189%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -10.56%E -8.65%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -1.26%E -0.340%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.59%E -0.710%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.63%E -6.05%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.46%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.09%E -7.33%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -11.29%E -9.33%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -7.40%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:21 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -8.46%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.44%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.89%E -5.43%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:10 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.69%E -3.61%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 12:28 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 12:30 |