赔率学院

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Tomas Machac

开赛时间： 2026-05-07 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)

预测 39.53%2.53公平赔率
EV +2.79%
优势 +1.07%
Kelly +1.74%
增长率 +0.049%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
35.64%40.30%39.54%57.93%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.672.322.352.6059.88%43.02%42.55%38.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

Tomas Machac (客队)

预测 60.47%1.65公平赔率
EV +39.07%
优势 +16.99%
Kelly +30.05%
增长率 +11.74%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
42.07%59.70%60.46%64.36%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.441.581.562.3069.44%63.19%64.10%43.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74%3.4%2026-05-07 14:36
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74%3.4%2026-05-07 14:36
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 14:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.28%E -3.57%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.84%E -5.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 14:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 14:54
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 14:55
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 14:55
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.16%E -0.465%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 14:54
Unibet (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.95%E -0.788%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 14:55
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:54
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 14:54
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 14:54
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 14:55
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.02%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 14:55
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV +0.419%E +0.165%K +0.272%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.79%E +1.07%K +1.74%G +0.049%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.93%E -8.98%K -29.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 14:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-05-07 14:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55