Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Tomas Machac
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 39.53%2.53kurs godziwy
EV +2.79%
Przewaga +1.07%
Kelly +1.74%
Wzrost +0.049%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.64%40.30%39.54%57.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.672.322.352.6059.88%43.02%42.55%38.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tomas Machac (Goście)
Prognoza 60.47%1.65kurs godziwy
EV +39.07%
Przewaga +16.99%
Kelly +30.05%
Wzrost +11.74%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.07%59.70%60.46%64.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.581.562.3069.44%63.19%64.10%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.28%E -3.57%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.84%E -5.31%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.16%E -0.465%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.95%E -0.788%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.02%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV +0.419%E +0.165%K +0.272%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.79%E +1.07%K +1.74%G +0.049% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.93%E -8.98%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |