Langue:Français
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Tomas Machac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Prévision 39.53%2.53cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.049%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.64%40.30%39.54%57.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.672.322.352.6059.88%43.02%42.55%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tomas Machac (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.47%1.65cote équitable
EV +39.07%
Avantage +16.99%
Kelly +30.05%
Croissance +11.74%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.07%59.70%60.46%64.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.581.562.3069.44%63.19%64.10%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local) : 39.53% ; Tomas Machac (Visiteur) : 60.47%. Pour Tomas Machac (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.65. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.30, soit une espérance positive de +39.07%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.28%E -3.57%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.84%E -5.31%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.16%E -0.465%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.95%E -0.788%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.02%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV +0.419%E +0.165%K +0.272%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.79%E +1.07%K +1.74%G +0.049% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.93%E -8.98%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |