La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Tomas Machac
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Predicción 39.53%2.53momio equitativo
EV +2.79%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.64%40.30%39.54%57.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.672.322.352.6059.88%43.02%42.55%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tomas Machac (Visitante)
Predicción 60.47%1.65momio equitativo
EV +39.07%
Ventaja +16.99%
Kelly +30.05%
Crecimiento +11.74%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.07%59.70%60.46%64.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.581.562.3069.44%63.19%64.10%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.28%E -3.57%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.84%E -5.31%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.16%E -0.465%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.95%E -0.788%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.02%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV +0.419%E +0.165%K +0.272%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.79%E +1.07%K +1.74%G +0.049% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.93%E -8.98%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |