La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Tomas Machac
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)
Previsione 39.53%2.53quota equa
EV +2.79%
Vantaggio +1.07%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescita +0.049%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.64%40.30%39.54%57.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.672.322.352.6059.88%43.02%42.55%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tomas Machac (Trasferta)
Previsione 60.47%1.65quota equa
EV +39.07%
Vantaggio +16.99%
Kelly +30.05%
Crescita +11.74%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.07%59.70%60.46%64.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.581.562.3069.44%63.19%64.10%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -33.98%E -20.35%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +39.07%E +16.99%K +30.05%G +11.74% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:36 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.65%E -1.65%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.28%E -3.57%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.84%E -5.31%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.16%E -0.465%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.95%E -0.788%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.02%E -5.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV +0.419%E +0.165%K +0.272%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.79%E +1.07%K +1.74%G +0.049% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.93%E -8.98%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |