The School of Odds

Sebastian Baez v Alexander Bublik

Matchstart: 2026-05-08 15:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Sebastian Baez (Hemma)

Prognos 42.50%2.35rättvist odds
EV -0.548%
Fördel -0.234%
Kelly -0.409%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.34

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.91%42.54%42.31%44.22%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.152.232.232.3446.51%44.83%44.84%42.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Bublik (Borta)

Prognos 57.50%1.74rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.641%
Kelly -1.53%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.72

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.78%57.46%57.69%59.09%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.601.651.641.7262.50%60.76%60.98%58.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.548%E -0.234%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 15:25
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.40%E -0.602%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.82%E -0.789%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 15:24
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:24
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 15:25
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 15:24
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:25
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:24
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:25
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:25
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:25
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:25
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:24
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:25
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:24
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:25
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 15:24
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 15:24
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:25
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:39
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:24
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:25
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:24
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:24
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:24
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:25
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:24
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:24
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:24
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:24
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:24
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:24
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:24
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 15:21
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:29
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:24
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:21
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.10%E -0.641%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 15:29
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-08 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-08 15:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-05-08 15:34
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-08 15:34
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-05-08 15:39