Sprache:Deutsch
Sebastian Baez v Alexander Bublik
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Sebastian Baez (Heim)
Prognose 42.50%2.35faire Quote
EV -0.548%
Vorteil -0.234%
Kelly -0.409%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.34
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.91%42.54%42.31%44.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.232.232.3446.51%44.83%44.84%42.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Auswärts)
Prognose 57.50%1.74faire Quote
EV -1.10%
Vorteil -0.641%
Kelly -1.53%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.78%57.46%57.69%59.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.651.641.7262.50%60.76%60.98%58.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sebastian Baez (Heim): 42.50%; Alexander Bublik (Auswärts): 57.50%. Für Sebastian Baez (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.35. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.34, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.548%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.548%E -0.234%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.40%E -0.602%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.82%E -0.789%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.10%E -0.641%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |