La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sebastian Baez v Alexander Bublik
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sebastian Baez (Casa)
Previsione 42.50%2.35quota equa
EV -0.548%
Vantaggio -0.234%
Kelly -0.409%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.91%42.54%42.31%44.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.232.232.3446.51%44.83%44.84%42.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexander Bublik (Trasferta)
Previsione 57.50%1.74quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.641%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.78%57.46%57.69%59.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.651.641.7262.50%60.76%60.98%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.548%E -0.234%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.40%E -0.602%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.82%E -0.789%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.10%E -0.641%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Novig | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |