Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Sebastian Baez v Alexander Bublik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Sebastian Baez (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 42.50%2.35kurs godziwy
EV -0.548%
Przewaga -0.234%
Kelly -0.409%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.34
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.91%42.54%42.31%44.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.232.232.3446.51%44.83%44.84%42.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alexander Bublik (Goście)
Prognoza 57.50%1.74kurs godziwy
EV -1.10%
Przewaga -0.641%
Kelly -1.53%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.72
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.78%57.46%57.69%59.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.651.641.7262.50%60.76%60.98%58.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.548%E -0.234%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.40%E -0.602%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.82%E -0.789%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.25%E -0.977%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.10%E -1.36%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.98%E -2.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.13%E -3.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.43%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:25 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.92%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.10%E -0.641%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Novig | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 15:39 |