语言:简体中文
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Daniil Medvedev
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (主队)
预测 34.02%2.94公平赔率
EV +0.368%
优势 +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 2.95
博彩公司预测分布
32.49%34.04%34.01%35.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.12%36.36%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
Daniil Medvedev (客队)
预测 65.98%1.52公平赔率
EV -3.01%
优势 -2.05%
Kelly -6.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.47
博彩公司预测分布
64.36%65.96%65.99%67.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.49%69.44%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pablo Llamas Ruiz (主队)：34.02%；Daniil Medvedev (客队)：65.98%。 对于“Pablo Llamas Ruiz (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.94。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.95，对应+0.368%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -0.652%E -0.223%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.992%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.01%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |