La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)
Predicción 34.02%2.94momio equitativo
EV +0.368%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.49%34.04%34.01%35.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.12%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 65.98%1.52momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -6.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.36%65.96%65.99%67.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.49%69.44%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -0.652%E -0.223%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.992%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.01%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| GTbets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ReBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:53 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:44 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Novig | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |