Школа коэффициентов

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Daniil Medvedev

Начало: 2026-05-11 15:10 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 34.02%2.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.368%
Преимущество +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.49%34.04%34.01%35.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.12%36.36%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Гости)

Прогноз 65.98%1.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.01%
Преимущество -2.05%
Kelly -6.41%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.47

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.36%65.96%65.99%67.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.49%69.44%68.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 14:54
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -0.652%E -0.223%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.992%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 14:55
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 14:54
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 14:55
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 14:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.01%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 14:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 14:55
BetUS2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 14:54
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 14:54
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 14:55
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 14:55
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 14:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:55
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:53
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:55
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 14:54
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 14:54
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 14:54
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 14:54
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 14:54
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 14:54
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 14:44
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 14:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-11 14:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-11 14:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%2.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Novig3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-05-11 14:54