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Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Daniil Medvedev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 34.02%2.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.368%
Преимущество +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.49%34.04%34.01%35.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.12%36.36%33.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Daniil Medvedev (Гости)
Прогноз 65.98%1.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.01%
Преимущество -2.05%
Kelly -6.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.47
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.36%65.96%65.99%67.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.49%69.44%68.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Хозяева): 34.02%; Daniil Medvedev (Гости): 65.98%. Для исхода «Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.94. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.95, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.368%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -0.652%E -0.223%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.992%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.01%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |