Die Wettquotenschule

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Daniil Medvedev

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-11 15:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Heim)

Prognose 34.02%2.94faire Quote
EV +0.368%
Vorteil +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.49%34.04%34.01%35.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.12%36.36%33.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Auswärts)

Prognose 65.98%1.52faire Quote
EV -3.01%
Vorteil -2.05%
Kelly -6.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.47

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.36%65.96%65.99%67.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.49%69.44%68.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 14:54
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -0.652%E -0.223%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.992%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 14:55
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 14:54
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 14:55
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 14:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.01%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 14:54
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 14:55
BetUS2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 14:54
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 14:54
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 14:55
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 14:55
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 14:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 14:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:55
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:53
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:55
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 14:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 14:54
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 14:54
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 14:54
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 14:54
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 14:54
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 14:54
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 14:54
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 14:54
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 14:44
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 14:54
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 14:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-11 14:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-11 14:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%2.2%2026-05-11 14:55
Novig3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-05-11 14:54