L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Daniil Medvedev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)
Prévision 34.02%2.94cote équitable
EV +0.368%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.49%34.04%34.01%35.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.12%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.98%1.52cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -6.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.36%65.96%65.99%67.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.49%69.44%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -0.652%E -0.223%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -0.992%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.97%E -4.95%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.01%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| GTbets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ReBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:53 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.31%E -4.45%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:44 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.54%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-05-11 14:55 |
| Novig | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 14:54 |