语言:简体中文
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Merida Aguilar
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Nikoloz Basilashvili (主队)
预测 40.76%2.45公平赔率
EV -0.948%
优势 -0.390%
Kelly -0.663%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.43
博彩公司预测分布
39.28%40.69%40.76%41.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.322.332.4344.44%43.03%42.92%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Daniel Merida Aguilar (客队)
预测 59.24%1.69公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -1.74%
Kelly -4.45%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.64
博彩公司预测分布
58.44%59.31%59.24%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.60%62.50%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nikoloz Basilashvili (主队)：40.76%；Daniel Merida Aguilar (客队)：59.24%。 对于“Nikoloz Basilashvili (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.45。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.43，期望值为-0.948%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.948%E -0.390%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.17%E -0.904%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 06:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 02:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 07:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |