مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Merida Aguilar

البداية: 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nikoloz Basilashvili (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.76%2.45السعر العادل
EV -0.948%
الأفضلية -0.390%
Kelly -0.663%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.28%40.69%40.76%41.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.322.332.4344.44%43.03%42.92%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniel Merida Aguilar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.24%1.69السعر العادل
EV -2.85%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -4.45%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.44%59.31%59.24%60.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.60%62.50%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.948%E -0.390%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:34
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 07:45
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 07:45
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.17%E -0.904%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 06:45
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 08:05
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 17:39
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:35
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:35
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:05
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:45
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 06:50
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 17:35
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 08:45
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 10:15
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 16:45
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:55
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:35
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:35
ReBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:05
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 02:01
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 08:10
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:55
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 21:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 07:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 17:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 06:55
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 17:35
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 06:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 08:55
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 06:45
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 17:35
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 06:45
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:45
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:46
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 08:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 17:35
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 18:45
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 08:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 08:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 06:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 06:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 17:34
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 07:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 07:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-07 08:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-07 08:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-07 08:55
Novig2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-05-07 08:45