La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Casa)
Previsione 40.76%2.45quota equa
EV -0.948%
Vantaggio -0.390%
Kelly -0.663%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.28%40.69%40.76%41.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.322.332.4344.44%43.03%42.92%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Trasferta)
Previsione 59.24%1.69quota equa
EV -2.85%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -4.45%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.44%59.31%59.24%60.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.60%62.50%60.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.948%E -0.390%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.17%E -0.904%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 06:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betsson | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| ReBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 02:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 07:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:04 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 08:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Novig | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |