StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Matchstart: 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Hemma)

Prognos 40.76%2.45rättvist odds
EV -0.948%
Fördel -0.390%
Kelly -0.663%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.28%40.69%40.76%41.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.322.332.4344.44%43.03%42.92%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta)

Prognos 59.24%1.69rättvist odds
EV -2.85%
Fördel -1.74%
Kelly -4.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.44%59.31%59.24%60.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.60%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nikoloz Basilashvili (Hemma): 40.76%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta): 59.24%. För Nikoloz Basilashvili (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.45. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.43, med väntevärdet -0.948%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.948%E -0.390%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 07:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.17%E -0.904%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 06:45
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 08:05
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:45
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 06:50
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 17:35
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 08:45
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 10:15
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 16:45
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:55
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:35
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:35
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 02:01
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 08:10
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 21:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 07:10
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 17:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 06:04
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 08:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 06:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 08:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 18:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 08:55
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 06:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 06:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 17:34
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 07:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 07:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-07 08:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-07 08:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-07 08:55
Novig2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-05-07 08:45