Langue:Français
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)
Prévision 40.76%2.45cote équitable
EV -0.948%
Avantage -0.390%
Kelly -0.663%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.28%40.69%40.76%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.322.332.4344.44%43.03%42.92%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.24%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -4.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%59.31%59.24%60.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.60%62.50%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local) : 40.76% ; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visiteur) : 59.24%. Pour Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.45. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.43, pour une espérance de -0.948% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.948%E -0.390%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.17%E -0.904%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 06:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 02:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 07:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |