Sprache:Deutsch
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Heim)
Prognose 40.76%2.45faire Quote
EV -0.948%
Vorteil -0.390%
Kelly -0.663%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.28%40.69%40.76%41.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.322.332.4344.44%43.03%42.92%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts)
Prognose 59.24%1.69faire Quote
EV -2.85%
Vorteil -1.74%
Kelly -4.45%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.64
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.44%59.31%59.24%60.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.60%62.50%60.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Nikoloz Basilashvili (Heim): 40.76%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts): 59.24%. Für Nikoloz Basilashvili (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.45. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.43, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.948%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.948%E -0.390%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.36%E -0.560%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.17%E -0.904%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.80%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 06:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.96%E -6.55%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 02:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.02%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 07:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.63%E -2.87%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.66%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 06:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 17:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.00%E -4.46%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 07:00 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |