语言:简体中文
Marcos Giron v Marin Cilic
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marcos Giron (主队)
预测 41.24%2.42公平赔率
EV -2.68%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.36
博彩公司预测分布
40.26%41.29%41.33%42.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.292.302.3646.51%43.68%43.48%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marin Cilic (客队)
预测 58.76%1.70公平赔率
EV -0.693%
优势 -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.69
博彩公司预测分布
57.03%58.71%58.67%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.611.621.6964.52%61.93%61.73%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marcos Giron (主队)：41.24%；Marin Cilic (客队)：58.76%。 对于“Marin Cilic (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.70。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.69，期望值为-0.693%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:48 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 10:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 10:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 10:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.43%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 10:47 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 10:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 10:45 |