Школа коэффициентов

Marcos Giron v Marin Cilic

Начало: 2026-05-07 10:55 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Marcos Giron (Хозяева)

Прогноз 41.24%2.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.68%
Преимущество -1.13%
Kelly -1.97%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.26%41.29%41.33%42.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.292.302.3646.51%43.68%43.48%42.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Marin Cilic (Гости)

Прогноз 58.76%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.693%
Преимущество -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.69

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.03%58.71%58.67%59.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.551.611.621.6964.52%61.93%61.73%59.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 10:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 10:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 10:50
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 10:49
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 10:44
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:48
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:49
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:50
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.43%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 10:50
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:49
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 10:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:47
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 10:50
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 10:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%3.9%2026-05-07 10:45