Szkoła Kursów

Marcos Giron v Marin Cilic

Początek: 2026-05-07 10:55 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Marcos Giron (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.24%2.42kurs godziwy
EV -2.68%
Przewaga -1.13%
Kelly -1.97%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.36

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.26%41.29%41.33%42.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.292.302.3646.51%43.68%43.48%42.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Marin Cilic (Goście)

Prognoza 58.76%1.70kurs godziwy
EV -0.693%
Przewaga -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.03%58.71%58.67%59.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.611.621.6964.52%61.93%61.73%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 10:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 10:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 10:50
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 10:49
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 10:44
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:48
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:49
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:50
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.43%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 10:50
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:49
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 10:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:47
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 10:50
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 10:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%3.9%2026-05-07 10:45