مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marcos Giron v Marin Cilic

البداية: 2026-05-07 10:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marcos Giron (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.24%2.42السعر العادل
EV -2.68%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -1.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.26%41.29%41.33%42.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.292.302.3646.51%43.68%43.48%42.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marin Cilic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.76%1.70السعر العادل
EV -0.693%
الأفضلية -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.03%58.71%58.67%59.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.611.621.6964.52%61.93%61.73%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 10:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 10:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 10:50
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 10:49
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 10:44
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:48
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:49
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:50
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.43%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 10:50
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:49
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 10:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:47
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 10:50
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 10:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%3.9%2026-05-07 10:45