A Escola das Odds

Marcos Giron v Marin Cilic

Início: 2026-05-07 10:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marcos Giron (Local)

Previsão 41.24%2.42odd justa
EV -2.68%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.26%41.29%41.33%42.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.292.302.3646.51%43.68%43.48%42.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marin Cilic (Visitante)

Previsão 58.76%1.70odd justa
EV -0.693%
Vantagem -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.03%58.71%58.67%59.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.621.6964.52%61.93%61.73%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 10:50
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.68%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 10:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 10:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 10:50
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.50%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 10:49
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 10:44
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:48
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:50
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 10:46
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:49
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:50
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -5.56%E -2.43%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-07 10:50
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:49
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 10:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:49
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:47
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 10:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 10:50
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 10:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-07 10:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-07 10:50
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-05-07 10:50
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%3.9%2026-05-07 10:45