默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorenzo Musetti v Francisco Cerundolo

开赛时间: 2026-05-10 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorenzo Musetti (主队)

预测 51.51%1.94公平赔率
EV -1.61%
优势 -0.844%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.58%51.53%52.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.36%54.05%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Francisco Cerundolo (客队)

预测 48.49%2.06公平赔率
EV -2.05%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -2.01%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.26%48.42%48.47%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.34%51.28%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Lorenzo Musetti (主队):51.51%;Francisco Cerundolo (客队):48.49%。 对于“Lorenzo Musetti (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.94。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.91,期望值为-1.61%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.61%E -0.844%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 07:19
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:19
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:19
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:37
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:19
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 09:09
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:19
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:19
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:19
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 12:52
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:19
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 00:39
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 00:40
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 12:54
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:19
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:54
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:54
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:17
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.87%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 12:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-10 12:54
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-10 12:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-05-10 12:55