La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Musetti v Francisco Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Predicción 51.51%1.94momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.844%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.58%51.53%52.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.36%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 48.49%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.26%48.42%48.47%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.34%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.61%E -0.844%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 07:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:37 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 09:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 11:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| ReBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 12:52 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:17 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.87%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Novig | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |