Langue:Français
Lorenzo Musetti v Francisco Cerundolo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Prévision 51.51%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.844%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.58%51.53%52.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.36%54.05%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.49%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.26%48.42%48.47%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.34%51.28%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lorenzo Musetti (Local) : 51.51% ; Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 48.49%. Pour Lorenzo Musetti (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.94. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.91, pour une espérance de -1.61% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.61%E -0.844%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 07:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:37 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 09:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 11:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 12:52 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:17 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.87%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 12:55 |