مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lorenzo Musetti v Francisco Cerundolo

البداية: 2026-05-10 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.51%1.94السعر العادل
EV -1.61%
الأفضلية -0.844%
Kelly -1.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%51.58%51.53%52.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.36%54.05%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.49%2.06السعر العادل
EV -2.05%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -2.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.26%48.42%48.47%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.34%51.28%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.61%E -0.844%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 07:19
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:19
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:19
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:37
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:20
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 12:19
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:34
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:19
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 09:09
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:19
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 02:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 11:34
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:19
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:19
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:19
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:54
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 12:52
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:54
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:19
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 00:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 00:40
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 12:54
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:19
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:55
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:54
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:54
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:17
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.87%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 12:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-10 12:54
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-10 12:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-05-10 12:55