A Escola das Odds

Lorenzo Musetti v Francisco Cerundolo

Início: 2026-05-10 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Local)

Previsão 51.51%1.94odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.844%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.58%51.53%52.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.36%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 48.49%2.06odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.26%48.42%48.47%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.34%51.28%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.61%E -0.844%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 07:19
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:19
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:19
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:37
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 12:20
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 12:19
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:34
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 12:54
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:19
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 09:09
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:19
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 12:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 02:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:24
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 11:34
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:55
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.93%E -3.06%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:19
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.48%E -2.27%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:19
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.22%E -2.84%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.96%E -2.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 12:19
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.99%E -2.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:54
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 12:52
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:54
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:19
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 00:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.70%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 00:40
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 12:54
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 12:19
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 12:54
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:55
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.25%E -3.43%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.90%E -3.60%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:54
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.76%E -3.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:54
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:54
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:17
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:19
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.28%E -4.04%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.87%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.45%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 12:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-10 12:54
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-10 12:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-05-10 12:54
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-05-10 12:55