A Escola das Odds

Lorenzo Musetti v Casper Ruud

Início: 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Local)

Previsão 36.73%2.72odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -0.860%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.14%37.00%36.63%38.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.572.602.6641.67%38.88%38.46%37.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casper Ruud (Visitante)

Previsão 63.27%1.58odd justa
EV -0.673%
Vantagem -0.429%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.07%63.00%63.37%63.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.50%66.67%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.29%E -0.860%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 08:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 07:34
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 08:48
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 07:14
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:19
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 07:34
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:35
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 05:39
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:14
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 07:55
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:04
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:19
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:44
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:19
DraftKings2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:35
Bet Right2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:55
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 07:55
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -5.96%E -2.33%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:35
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 07:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 07:54
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 08:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:49
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.69%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 07:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:24
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:24
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.673%E -0.429%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 08:14
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 07:54
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 07:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:04
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:20
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.26%E -5.70%K -18.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:45
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:45
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 08:45
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-05-12 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-12 08:49
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.0%2026-05-12 08:49
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-12 08:50