La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Lorenzo Musetti v Casper Ruud
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lorenzo Musetti (Casa)
Previsione 36.73%2.72quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -0.860%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.66
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.14%37.00%36.63%38.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.572.602.6641.67%38.88%38.46%37.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Casper Ruud (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.27%1.58quota equa
EV -0.673%
Vantaggio -0.429%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.07%63.00%63.37%63.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.50%66.67%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.29%E -0.860%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 08:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 08:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| ReBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| GTbets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -5.96%E -2.33%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.69%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.673%E -0.429%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 08:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.26%E -5.70%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:40 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Novig | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |