Langue:Français
Lorenzo Musetti v Casper Ruud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Prévision 36.73%2.72cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.860%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%37.00%36.63%38.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.6641.67%38.88%38.46%37.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.27%1.58cote équitable
EV -0.673%
Avantage -0.429%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%63.00%63.37%63.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.50%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lorenzo Musetti (Local) : 36.73% ; Casper Ruud (Visiteur) : 63.27%. Pour Casper Ruud (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.58. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.57, pour une espérance de -0.673% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.29%E -0.860%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 08:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 08:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -5.96%E -2.33%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.69%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.673%E -0.429%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.26%E -5.70%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |