La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Musetti v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Predicción 36.73%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.860%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.00%36.63%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.6641.67%38.88%38.46%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 63.27%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.673%
Ventaja -0.429%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%63.00%63.37%63.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.50%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.29%E -0.860%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 08:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 08:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| ReBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |
| GTbets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -5.96%E -2.33%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.69%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.673%E -0.429%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 08:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 07:35 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.26%E -5.70%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:45 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:40 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Novig | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 08:50 |