مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lorenzo Musetti v Casper Ruud

البداية: 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.73%2.72السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -0.860%
Kelly -1.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.14%37.00%36.63%38.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.572.602.6641.67%38.88%38.46%37.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casper Ruud (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.27%1.58السعر العادل
EV -0.673%
الأفضلية -0.429%
Kelly -1.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.07%63.00%63.37%63.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.50%66.67%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.29%E -0.860%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 08:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 07:34
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 08:48
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 07:14
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:19
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 07:34
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:35
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 05:39
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:14
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 07:55
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:04
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:19
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:44
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:19
DraftKings2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:35
Bet Right2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:55
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 07:55
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -5.96%E -2.33%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:35
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 07:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 07:54
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 08:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:49
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.69%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 07:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:24
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:24
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.673%E -0.429%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 08:14
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 07:54
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 07:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:04
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:20
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.26%E -5.70%K -18.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:45
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:45
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 08:45
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-05-12 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-12 08:49
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.0%2026-05-12 08:49
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-12 08:50