Die Wettquotenschule

Lorenzo Musetti v Casper Ruud

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Heim)

Prognose 36.73%2.72faire Quote
EV -2.29%
Vorteil -0.860%
Kelly -1.38%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.14%37.00%36.63%38.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.402.572.602.6641.67%38.88%38.46%37.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Casper Ruud (Auswärts)

Prognose 63.27%1.58faire Quote
EV -0.673%
Vorteil -0.429%
Kelly -1.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.07%63.00%63.37%63.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.50%66.67%63.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.29%E -0.860%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 08:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 07:34
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 08:48
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.65%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 07:14
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:19
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 07:34
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:35
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 05:39
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 08:14
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 07:55
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 07:34
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:04
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:19
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:44
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 06:19
DraftKings2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:35
Bet Right2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:55
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 07:55
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -5.96%E -2.33%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:35
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 07:34
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 07:54
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 07:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 08:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:49
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:49
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.69%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 07:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:24
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.43%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:24
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.673%E -0.429%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 08:14
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.31%E -0.837%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 07:54
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 07:35
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 07:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 23:04
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:20
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.26%E -5.70%K -18.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:45
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:45
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 08:45
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 07:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-05-12 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-12 08:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-12 08:49
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.0%2026-05-12 08:49
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-12 08:50