Language:English
Learner Tien v Damir Dzumhur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 54.60%1.83fair odd
EV -0.633%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.772%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.65%54.69%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.741.731.8263.69%57.55%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Damir Dzumhur (Visit)
Prediction 45.40%2.20fair odd
EV +8.06%
Edge +3.39%
Kelly +5.84%
Growth +0.471%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%45.35%45.31%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.3851.28%48.07%47.62%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 54.60%; Damir Dzumhur (Visit): 45.40%. For Damir Dzumhur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.28%E -9.10%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.06%E +3.39%K +5.84%G +0.471% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -1.93%E -0.893%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -0.633%E -0.348%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 14:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.02%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.18%E -0.651%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-08 14:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |