مدرسة الاحتمالات

Learner Tien v Damir Dzumhur

البداية: 2026-05-08 14:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Learner Tien (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.60%1.83السعر العادل
EV -0.633%
الأفضلية -0.348%
Kelly -0.772%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%54.65%54.69%60.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.741.731.8263.69%57.55%57.80%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Damir Dzumhur (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.40%2.20السعر العادل
EV +8.06%
الأفضلية +3.39%
Kelly +5.84%
النمو +0.471%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.75%45.35%45.31%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.082.102.3851.28%48.07%47.62%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.28%E -9.10%K -25.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.06%E +3.39%K +5.84%G +0.471%5.7%2026-05-08 13:34
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -1.93%E -0.893%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 13:34
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:34
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:34
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 13:35
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:58
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 13:34
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:34
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:50
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:15
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:34
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -0.633%E -0.348%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:09
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 14:09
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:35
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.02%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:34
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:34
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:34
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:34
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:34
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:29
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 13:35
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.18%E -0.651%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:33
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:34
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:31
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 13:50
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-08 14:04
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:15
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-05-08 14:15