La scuola delle quote

Learner Tien v Damir Dzumhur

Inizio: 2026-05-08 14:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Learner Tien (Casa)

Previsione 54.60%1.83quota equa
EV -0.633%
Vantaggio -0.348%
Kelly -0.772%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%54.65%54.69%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.741.731.8263.69%57.55%57.80%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Damir Dzumhur (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.40%2.20quota equa
EV +8.06%
Vantaggio +3.39%
Kelly +5.84%
Crescita +0.471%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%45.35%45.31%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.082.102.3851.28%48.07%47.62%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.28%E -9.10%K -25.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.06%E +3.39%K +5.84%G +0.471%5.7%2026-05-08 13:34
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -1.93%E -0.893%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 13:34
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:34
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:34
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 13:35
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:58
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 13:34
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:34
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:50
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:15
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:35
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:34
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -0.633%E -0.348%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:09
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 14:09
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:35
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.02%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:34
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:34
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:34
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:34
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:34
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:29
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 13:35
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.18%E -0.651%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:33
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:34
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:31
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 13:50
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-08 14:04
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:15
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-05-08 14:15