StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien v Damir Dzumhur

Matchstart: 2026-05-08 14:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien (Hemma)

Prognos 54.60%1.83rättvist odds
EV -0.633%
Fördel -0.348%
Kelly -0.772%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.00%54.65%54.69%60.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.741.731.8263.69%57.55%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Damir Dzumhur (Borta)

Prognos 45.40%2.20rättvist odds
EV +8.06%
Fördel +3.39%
Kelly +5.84%
Tillväxt +0.471%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%45.35%45.31%48.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.082.102.3851.28%48.07%47.62%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Learner Tien (Hemma): 54.60%; Damir Dzumhur (Borta): 45.40%. För Damir Dzumhur (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.20. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.38, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.06%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.28%E -9.10%K -25.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.06%E +3.39%K +5.84%G +0.471%5.7%2026-05-08 13:34
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -1.93%E -0.893%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:34
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:58
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 13:34
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:34
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:50
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:15
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:34
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -0.633%E -0.348%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:09
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 14:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.02%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:34
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:34
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:34
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:34
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.18%E -0.651%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:33
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:34
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 13:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:35
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 13:50
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-08 14:04
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-08 14:15
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-05-08 14:15