L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Learner Tien v Damir Dzumhur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Learner Tien (Local)
Prévision 54.60%1.83cote équitable
EV -0.633%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.772%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%54.65%54.69%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.741.731.8263.69%57.55%57.80%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damir Dzumhur (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.40%2.20cote équitable
EV +8.06%
Avantage +3.39%
Kelly +5.84%
Croissance +0.471%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%45.35%45.31%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.102.3851.28%48.07%47.62%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.28%E -9.10%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.06%E +3.39%K +5.84%G +0.471% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -1.93%E -0.893%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.29%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:58 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.91%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.20%E -1.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -0.633%E -0.348%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 14:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 14:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.02%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.45%E -2.55%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.18%E -0.651%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:33 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 13:31 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.73%E -0.958%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-08 14:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |