默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jannik Sinner v Daniil Medvedev

开赛时间: 2026-05-15 17:25 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jannik Sinner (主队)

预测 89.67%1.12公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -2.93%
Kelly -39.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.08

博彩公司预测分布
86.85%89.52%89.46%91.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.37%94.34%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

Daniil Medvedev (客队)

预测 10.33%9.68公平赔率
EV +13.67%
优势 +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
增长率 +0.187%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布
8.79%10.48%10.54%13.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.009.559.9011.0014.29%10.47%10.10%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jannik Sinner (主队):89.67%;Daniil Medvedev (客队):10.33%。 对于“Daniil Medvedev (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.68。 当时有27家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.00,对应+13.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.78%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 9.22%EV +8.92%E +0.846%K +0.935%G +0.083%2.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +8.50%E +0.810%K +0.895%G +0.076%3.0%2026-05-15 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%4.3%2026-05-15 17:21
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%6.2%2026-05-15 17:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.41%E -0.477%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -8.54%E -8.37%K -427.02%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -5.45%E -0.595%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 17:21
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:20
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -13.20%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:21
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:18
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21