مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jannik Sinner v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-05-15 17:25 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jannik Sinner (المضيف)

التنبؤ 89.67%1.12السعر العادل
EV -3.16%
الأفضلية -2.93%
Kelly -39.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
86.85%89.52%89.46%91.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.37%94.34%92.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.33%9.68السعر العادل
EV +13.67%
الأفضلية +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
النمو +0.187%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.79%10.48%10.54%13.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.009.559.9011.0014.29%10.47%10.10%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.78%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 9.22%EV +8.92%E +0.846%K +0.935%G +0.083%2.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +8.50%E +0.810%K +0.895%G +0.076%3.0%2026-05-15 17:19
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%4.3%2026-05-15 17:21
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%6.2%2026-05-15 17:21
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.41%E -0.477%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -8.54%E -8.37%K -427.02%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -5.45%E -0.595%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 17:21
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:20
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:20
Fanatics1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -13.20%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:21
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:18
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21