La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jannik Sinner v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Predicción 89.67%1.12momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -2.93%
Kelly -39.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.85%89.52%89.46%91.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.37%94.34%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 10.33%9.68momio equitativo
EV +13.67%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.187%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.79%10.48%10.54%13.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.559.9011.0014.29%10.47%10.10%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| BetRivers | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| TABtouch | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Casumo | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| betPARX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 3.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.78%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 10.54I 9.49%NM 9.22%EV +8.92%E +0.846%K +0.935%G +0.083% | 2.9% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Coolbet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +8.50%E +0.810%K +0.895%G +0.076% | 3.0% | 2026-05-15 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| theScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| DraftKings | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.41%E -0.477%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 17:19 |
| Fliff | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -8.54%E -8.37%K -427.02%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -5.45%E -0.595%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Bet Right | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| BetUS | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Coral | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -13.20%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 17:14 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 17:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| TAB | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| BetMGM | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Caesars | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 17:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Matchbook | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Novig | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |
| Smarkets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 17:21 |